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Monetary policy U. S.

Fed independence

There has been significant criticism from some extreme leftists regarding Trump’s comments on Fed policies. The independence of the Federal Reserve is crucial for ensuring stable and sound monetary policies, free from short-term political biases. However, this independence is conditional rather than absolute.

First, the Fed must demonstrate intellectual rigor to ensure that its monetary policies are sensible. Since the onset of COVID-19, many of their decisions—including the characterization of inflation, aggressive interest rate hikes, and a data-dependent mentality—have proven flawed. Fed independence is not guaranteed; it must be earned over time.

Second, Fed independence does not mean that officials do not consider input from the public, including the president and other government officials. FOMC members are expected to exercise their own judgment while also taking into account diverse perspectives.

The Fed now faces a dilemma: should it cut interest rates by 25 basis points or 50 in September, amid rising economic concerns and diminishing inflation—especially when excluding housing-related components? Without clarity on the interest rate path, both the economy and the markets may suffer.